Diwali 2016 – Track Diwali Stock Picks by Experts (Samvat 2072)

Hi all, just like every Diwali, experts from various brokerage houses advise their clients on which stocks will do good in the coming year. I have gone over several sources and collected around 50 stock picks.  I have ignored unknown and small companies.Here are the Diwali stock picks for this year!

Read: Track Diwali Predictions made in 2016 (Link)

I have been tracking 46 stock predictions for this year. As of Dushera this year, here's the summary of how these predictions are performing:

  • 29 out of 46 (63%) predictions are trading at prices that are lower than the predicted price.
  • 17 of these stocks are trading at less than half the predicted price.
  • 13 out of 46 (28%) predictions are trading at prices that are between 0% and 25% of the predicted price.
  • 1 stock is trading at over 100% of the predicted price.
  • The prediction is in the range of -79% to 110% of the predicted price.
  • NIFTY has gained just under 3% over the same period.

Compared to the broad market, the predictions have been all over the place. A range of -79% to 110% is too big to give confidence in the ability of professional investors to forecast individual stock prices.

 

StockForecastOct-16Target Met?BrokerSourceJan-16Feb-16Mar-16Apr-16Aug-16
Allcargo395179-55%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard187142153154184
Amara Raja104010521%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard838858875955998
Ashok Leyland11180-28%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard898510810683
Ashoka Buildcon214171-20%ICICI DirectMyInvestmentIdeas.com193175171136159
Axis Bank630532-16%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard408386444472599
Bajaj Corp530398-25%ICICI DirectMyInvestmentIdeas.com382377386387408
Bajaj Finance510010740111%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel592858086925682911139
Blue Dart75005563-26%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel62885594605056755532
Century Plyboard2302519%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard149148171184226
Dabur India308286-7%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard250241250275297
DHFL355292-18%Motilal OswalBusiness Standard183152197198287
DHFL319292-8%IIFLMyInvestmentIdeas.com183152197198287
Engineers India2502666%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard192147170179269
Greaves Cotton180128-29%IIFLMyInvestmentIdeas.com128118123133135
HCL Technologies1132813-28%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard865824814750784
HDFC Bank126212842%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard1049961107011321285
HDFC Bank120012847%Prabhudas LiladharBusiness Standard1049961107011321285
ICICI Bank400250-38%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard230184236237261
ICICI Bank348250-28%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard230184236237261
Infosys14401030-28%Prabhudas LiladharBusiness Standard11641121121812081031
Infosys13061030-21%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard11641121121812081031
Infosys12301030-16%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard11641121121812081031
Inox Wind546225-59%Motilal OswalBusiness Standard316218269271191
Inox Wind505225-55%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard316218269271191
Ipca Labs.900621-31%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard668571581497541
ITC350240-31%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel320290328325262
Jagran Prakashan16920119%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard161147160159195
JK Lakshmi Cement45049710%Prabhudas LiladharBusiness Standard301267340349461
Kajaria885142060%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel97488095810491282
Larsen & Toubro16461450-12%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard11011110122012541505
LIC Housing Fin5715924%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard475408392462574
Maruti Suzuki4934571216%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard40953409371637945158
MT Educare169140-17%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard164143166169137
PNC Infrastructure609126-79%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard506471528522121
PNC Infrastructure485126-74%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel506471528522121
Praj Industries10583-21%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard9773899688
Radico Khaitan11914421%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard114929588100
SBI518256-51%Prabhudas LiladharBusiness Standard179153194189254
Sintex14583-43%Motilal OswalBusiness Standard7967778376
Siyaram Silk1145154034%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard109497097910401330
Sun Pharma1055755-28%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard872871820811782
Supreme Industries77593921%Kotak SecuritiesBusiness Standard740666740800952
Surya Roshni18322422%Angel BrokingBusiness Standard150124142149194
Symphony19001159-39%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel22081965237923872291
Syngene35549640%ICICI DirectMoneyExcel402403385388473
Tata Motors5185628%Prabhudas LiladharBusiness Standard336301386408549

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